Description: This is a panel discussion about the economic outlook in the 1960's.

Description: This is a discussion forum covering 2 papers on economic trends and life insurance in 1953. Dr.Simon Kuznets presented a paper entitled Notes on Prospects of Economic Growth in the United States. His paper was directed to two main questions, a What are the prospects for the nation's future economic growth? b What is likely to be the long-term trend in the general price levels during the next two or three decades? The subject of Dr. Raymond W. Goldsmith's paper was The Supply of Savings and the Level of Interest RatesRetrospect and Outlook.

Description: The Committee on Economic Statistics of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries has recommended that the Institute sponsor an Economic Forecasting Board composed of actuaries and economists. Its role would be to develop formal projections of interest rates, inflation rates, productivity and wages. This article discusses the role of such a board, the purposes for the projections, and the potential roadblocks to accomplishing this.

Description: Discusses the influences that foreign economies have on the U.S. economy and the risks that those influences create for the U.S. life insurance industry.

Description: Argues renewable energy will displace fossil fuels, leading to investment opportunities and risks

Description: This panel discussion session examines the marketing and pricing considerations of group insurance in the 1980's.

Description: This presentation is a section meeting from the 1991 Annual Meeting of the Society of Actuaries, held October 20-23 in Toronto. The guest speaker discusses prospective returns on financial assets, noting that the past, particularly the 1980s, is in many respects irrelevant in making projections of future returns, noting the decade of the 1980s was a nonrecurring and unsustainable period. He provides his thoughts in terms of projected real economic growth, projected inflation, projected real interest rates, and using that data makes projections of returns from a variety of financial assets. Discussion from participants is included. From the Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 17, No. 4B.

Description: This 1981 session on Fiscal and Monetary Policy dealt with questions of i. What are current U.S. and Canadian policies? 2. What is the outlook for fiscal policy in the U.S. and Canada? 3. What does current monetary policy imply for financial and credit markets and interest rates? 4. What political, social and economic changes must occur for nominal interest rates to begin steadily declining toward parity with real interest rates? From Record of Society of Actuaries, Vol. 7, No. 2.

Description: Abstract: A model for analyzing the probability and severity of default of sovereign entities and banks. The methodology analyzes the risks inherent in the investment of debt of sovereign governments and large financial institutions side-by-side, taking into consideration macroeconomic interactions among the sovereign fiscal and monetary authorities, the financial institutions, and the real economy. The signature aspect of the methodology is that it adapts a Merton-style default model to use explicit measures of sovereign assets and asset volatility.

Description: Overview on current trends in medical practice impacting the LTC insurance business with a focus on dementia, risk stratification, and predictive modeling.